Ipswich vs Fulham Prediction: Key Stats and Betting Tips

Portman Road hosts a significant early-season Premier League clash on 10 October 2026 as Ipswich welcome Fulham. With both sides sitting in the bottom half after five matches, this feels like a classic six-pointer even at this stage of the campaign.

Ipswich come into Matchday 6 in 11th place with 6 points from 5 games. Kieran McKenna’s side have been entertaining but fragile, scoring 7 and conceding 11, and will see this home fixture as a prime opportunity to put daylight between themselves and the relegation battle. Fulham, by contrast, are already under pressure in 19th, winless with just 2 points, 5 goals scored and 8 conceded. Marco Silva’s men need a result to avoid being cut adrift.

Recent Ipswich vs Fulham encounters have been tight in the Premier League but historically dominated by the London club across divisions and cups. With both teams showing defensive vulnerabilities and the betting market marginally shading the visitors, this matchup offers intriguing angles for result and goals betting, as well as player-focused props around creative talents like Emersonn and Julio César Enciso.

Ipswich vs Fulham Key Stats

• Ipswich sit 11th with 6 points from 5 matches (2 wins, 3 defeats), scoring 7 and conceding 11 in the Premier League standings.
• The last two Premier League meetings (2024) both ended level: 2-2 at Craven Cottage on 5 January 2025 and 1-1 at Portman Road on 31 August 2024.
• Across 5 Premier League 2026 fixtures, Ipswich average 1.4 goals scored and 2.2 conceded per game, while Fulham average 1.0 scored and 1.6 conceded.

Ipswich vs Fulham — Tale of the Tape

• Position: 11 vs 19
• Points: 6 vs 2
• Goals For: 7 vs 5
• Goals Against: 11 vs 8
• Clean Sheets: Ipswich 0, Fulham 1 (tournament statistics)

The standings underline how much better Ipswich have started. Two wins from five and 6 points give them a modest cushion, but a -4 goal difference and 11 goals conceded show their defensive structure is far from settled. At home they have split results (1 win, 1 defeat) with 2 goals scored and 3 conceded.

Fulham’s situation is more concerning. Nineteenth with just 2 points, they remain without a win after 5 matches (3 losses, 2 draws). Their attack has been strangely split: 5 goals at home but none away, and they have failed to score in both away games so far. Defensively, they are slightly tighter than Ipswich overall (8 conceded to 11), but one clean sheet in 5 and an away record of 1 goal conceded in 2 suggests low-event matches on their travels rather than genuine solidity.

Ipswich vs Fulham Key Matchups

Emersonn vs Timothy Castagne

Emersonn has been one of Ipswich’s standout performers in the early weeks. The Brazilian attacker has 2 goals and 1 assist in 5 Premier League appearances, all starts, across 321 minutes. He has been efficient in front of goal with 8 shots and 4 on target, and his 4 key passes underline his dual threat as both scorer and creator. With a rating of 7.18, he is currently Ipswich’s most productive attacking outlet in the league.

Up against him on Fulham’s right side is likely to be Timothy Castagne, who has also started all 5 league games, logging 410 minutes. Castagne contributes at both ends: 4 shots (2 on target), 4 key passes and an assist show his willingness to push forward, while 6 tackles, 2 blocks and 4 interceptions highlight his defensive work. However, 2 yellow cards and 9 fouls committed suggest he can be drawn into rash challenges. Emersonn’s dribbling and movement between the lines could expose that aggression, making this duel pivotal to Ipswich’s attacking success.

Julio César Enciso vs Fulham’s central midfield unit

Julio César Enciso has been Ipswich’s creative hub from midfield. In 5 starts (415 minutes), he has supplied 2 assists, taken 14 shots (4 on target) and delivered 6 key passes with an impressive 84% passing accuracy. He also contributes defensively with 2 tackles, 2 blocks and 3 interceptions, while winning 19 of 50 duels and drawing 9 fouls. His ability to carry the ball (21 dribble attempts, 7 successful) and link midfield to attack makes him a constant threat between the lines.

Fulham’s central midfield — likely built around players such as Sander Berge, Harrison Reed and Alex Iwobi from the squad list — will need to close down Enciso’s space. Given Fulham have conceded in every game bar one and have not yet won, their ability to screen the back four and prevent Enciso from feeding runners like Emersonn and A. Fatawu will be crucial. If Enciso dictates tempo, Ipswich will create enough chances to justify their edge in form.

Head-to-Head: Last Meetings

The recent head-to-head history tilts towards Fulham, especially in cup and Championship meetings, but the Premier League encounters in 2024 were notably more balanced. Ipswich have shown they can compete, particularly at Portman Road.

• 5 January 2025: Fulham 2-2 Ipswich (Premier League)
• 31 August 2024: Ipswich 1-1 Fulham (Premier League)
• 1 November 2023: Ipswich 1-3 Fulham (League Cup)
• 16 September 2020: Ipswich 0-1 Fulham (League Cup)
• 2 January 2018: Fulham 4-1 Ipswich (Championship)

Ipswich vs Fulham Prediction

Stats suggest a tight contest with a slight lean towards Ipswich avoiding defeat. The prediction model gives Ipswich a 35% chance of winning, the draw also 35%, and Fulham a 30% chance. That aligns with Ipswich’s superior league position and better recent form (two wins in five versus Fulham’s three straight defeats followed by two draws), but it also respects Fulham’s historical edge in the fixture and the visitors’ ability to keep games relatively low scoring away from home.

Ipswich’s attack has been more convincing than Fulham’s, especially given the visitors have yet to score on the road this season. However, Ipswich’s defensive record — 11 goals conceded in 5 — leaves the door open. Fulham’s comparison indices show they edge the overall total index and defensive index, while Ipswich lead on form and attacking indices. That balance, combined with two consecutive Premier League draws between the sides, points strongly towards another close game that could be decided by fine margins or end level.

Predicted Score: Ipswich 1-1 Fulham

Ipswich Recent Form

Ipswich’s recent form in the Premier League reads LWLLW, a mixed but competitive run. Across those 5 matches they have won twice and lost three, scoring 7 and conceding 11. At Portman Road they have one win and one defeat, with 2 goals scored and 3 conceded, reinforcing the sense of volatility but also attacking intent.

Fulham Recent Form

Fulham’s recent form is LLLDD, reflecting a poor start that has only just stabilised. They opened with three straight defeats before drawing their last two. In 5 league games they have yet to win, with 5 goals scored and 8 conceded. Away from home, they have drawn one and lost one, scoring 0 and conceding just 1, suggesting a more conservative approach on their travels.

Ipswich Possible Starting Lineup

GK: A. Palmer or D. Button; Defenders: L. Davis, I. Diop, C. Kipré, D. Furlong; Midfielders: S. Lukić, A. Matusiwa, J. Enciso, A. Fatawu, Z. Flemming; Forwards: Emersonn or C. Akpom.

Ipswich have consistently used a 4-2-3-1 shape in their 5 Premier League matches, which fits the squad profile. L. Davis offers attacking thrust from left-back and has already contributed 2 goals and 1 assist this season, while S. Lukić provides control in midfield with 246 completed passes at 89% accuracy. In the final third, Enciso, Fatawu and Emersonn give McKenna pace, creativity and goal threat. The main concern is discipline — Fatawu has 3 yellows and 1 red already — and a lack of clean sheets, with the defensive unit still bedding in.

Fulham Possible Starting Lineup

GK: B. Leno; Defenders: T. Castagne, J. Andersen, C. Bassey, A. Robinson; Midfielders: S. Berge, H. Reed, A. Iwobi; Advanced midfield/wingers: Oscar Bobb, R. Sessegnon; Forward: Rodrigo Muniz.

Fulham have also favoured a 4-2-3-1 across their 5 league fixtures. At the back, Castagne and Robinson provide width, while Andersen and Bassey or Jorge Cuenca offer aerial presence. In midfield, Berge and Reed can screen the defence and recycle possession, with Iwobi and creative options like Oscar Bobb tasked with supplying the front line. Rodrigo Muniz is a natural focal point in attack. The challenge has been turning possession into clear chances, particularly away from home where they have failed to score in two attempts.

Ipswich Team News

No significant absences reported.

Fulham Team News

No significant absences reported.

Injuries & Suspensions

Ipswich:

• None reported.

Fulham:

• None reported.

Betting Tips: Ipswich vs Fulham

Exactly 3 distinct tips from different markets:

• Result Tip: Double chance Ipswich or Draw. The prediction model gives Ipswich a 35% win probability and the draw also 35%, versus 30% for Fulham, and Ipswich have started better in the league. The market makes Fulham a marginal favourite with away odds ranging from 2.33 to 2.55 (implied roughly 39.2% to 42.9%), while Ipswich are 2.58 to 2.90 (about 34.5% to 38.8%). Given that discrepancy, backing Ipswich not to lose via double chance (where available in bookmakers’ menus) looks a sensible way to side with the form team while protecting against another draw.
• Goals Tip: Under 2.5 goals. Ipswich average 1.4 scored and 2.2 conceded per game, while Fulham average 1.0 for and 1.6 against. However, Fulham’s away matches have been very tight (0 scored, 1 conceded in 2 games), and the last two league meetings between these sides both finished under 3 goals (1-1 and 2-2). With the market implying a fairly even contest and Fulham likely to keep things compact away from home, under 2.5 goals at typical odds around the mid-1.80s to low-2.00s range (check your bookmaker’s “Total Goals” market) has solid statistical backing.
• Value Tip: Ipswich to score first. Ipswich have been the more proactive attacking side, with 7 goals in 5 matches and key creators like Emersonn (2 goals, 1 assist) and Enciso (2 assists, 14 shots). Fulham have yet to score away and have often started slowly. Match winner odds show Ipswich as slight underdogs at 2.58–2.90, suggesting first-goal prices on the home side could be attractively above evens. Given Ipswich’s stronger attacking metrics and home advantage at Portman Road, backing them to open the scoring offers value relative to the overall win market.

Odds are accurate at the time of writing and subject to change. Please gamble responsibly.