Hull City vs Everton Prediction: Preview and Betting Tips

Hull City welcome Everton to the MKM Stadium on 11 October 2026 in a fascinating Premier League clash between two sides sitting side by side in the early table. Hull are 8th with 8 points from 5 matches, while Everton are just ahead in 7th on 9 points, both unbeaten in their last three league outings. With such a narrow gap, this feels like a classic mid‑table six-pointer where a win could propel either side toward the European conversation.

The MKM Stadium has already become a difficult place to visit this season, with Hull yet to concede a league goal at home. Everton, however, arrive as one of the division’s most resilient outfits, still unbeaten after five games and boasting one of the tighter defences in the top half. For fans and bettors looking at Hull City vs Everton prediction angles, this matchup offers an intriguing blend of defensive solidity, fine margins and a rich recent head‑to‑head history.

Both teams are coming off solid starts: Hull’s 2 wins and 2 draws from 5 underline their competitiveness after promotion, while Everton’s 2 wins and 3 draws show a side that is hard to beat but still searching for a statement away victory. With the market slightly favouring Everton but the stats pointing to a low‑scoring, cagey affair, this fixture should be central to any Premier League betting tips for the weekend.

Hull City vs Everton Key Stats

• Hull City sit 8th on 8 points with a +2 goal difference, having scored 6 and conceded 4 across 5 Premier League matches.
• Everton have not lost any of the last four meetings in all competitions, including a 3-2 extra‑time win at the MKM Stadium in the FA Cup on 8 January 2022.
• Both sides have kept 3 clean sheets in 5 league games this season, underlining strong defensive records in the early campaign.

Hull City vs Everton — Tale of the Tape

• Position: 8 vs 7
• Points: 8 vs 9
• Goals For: 6 vs 6
• Goals Against: 4 vs 3
• Clean Sheets: 3 vs 3

After five Premier League fixtures up to 11 October 2026, there is almost nothing between these two. Hull have taken 8 points from 5 matches (2 wins, 2 draws, 1 defeat), scoring 6 and conceding 4. Everton, marginally better off, have 9 points (2 wins, 3 draws, 0 defeats) with the same 6 goals scored but only 3 conceded. Both sides are averaging 1.2 goals scored per game, but Everton’s defence edges it slightly at 0.6 goals conceded per match compared to Hull’s 0.8.

Home and away splits add further nuance. Hull have been excellent at the MKM Stadium, taking 4 points from 2 home games without conceding a goal (2 scored, 0 against). Everton’s away record is solid but unspectacular: 2 draws from 2, with 1 goal scored and 1 conceded. The combination of Hull’s home clean sheets and Everton’s unbeaten run suggests a tight, low‑margin contest where one moment of quality or a set‑piece could decide it.

Hull City vs Everton Key Matchups

M. Belloumi vs J. Garner

Mohamed Elbachir Belloumi has been Hull’s standout creative force so far. In 5 Premier League appearances (all starts, 398 minutes), he has produced 2 goals and 2 assists, directly contributing to two‑thirds of Hull’s 6 league goals. His 13 shots (5 on target) and 5 key passes highlight a player who both creates and finishes chances, while 16 tackles and 9 interceptions show he also contributes defensively from midfield or the attacking line.

James Garner, by contrast, is Everton’s metronome in the middle. Across 5 appearances (4 starts, 330 minutes), he has yet to score or assist but has completed 189 passes with an impressive 90% accuracy and 4 key passes. Defensively, he has 11 tackles, 3 blocks and 3 interceptions, underlining his importance in shielding the back line. The battle between Belloumi’s progressive, risk‑taking style and Garner’s control and ball retention could dictate which side wins the midfield territory and, ultimately, the balance of chances.

O. McBurnie vs J. Tarkowski & Everton Back Line

O. McBurnie is yet to score in 5 league appearances (442 minutes) but remains central to Hull’s attacking structure. He has 1 assist, 10 shots (3 on target) and 6 key passes, while also engaging in 90 duels and winning 43, reflecting his role as a physical focal point. His 3 yellow cards show he plays on the edge, contesting aggressively in both boxes.

He will likely be matched up often against the experienced J. Tarkowski and Everton’s central defenders. Everton’s defensive numbers — 3 goals conceded in 5 games, with 3 clean sheets — indicate they are well‑drilled at dealing with aerial and physical threats. If McBurnie can pin centre‑backs, win first balls and bring runners like Belloumi into play, Hull can disrupt Everton’s structure. Conversely, if Tarkowski and company dominate those duels, Everton will be able to squeeze the game and keep Hull’s chance quality low.

Head-to-Head: Last Meetings

These sides have shared some high‑profile and high‑scoring encounters over the last decade, with Everton generally having the upper hand but Hull capable of springing a surprise at home.

• 8 January 2022: Hull City 2-3 Everton (FA Cup)
• 18 March 2017: Everton 4-0 Hull City (Premier League)
• 30 December 2016: Hull City 2-2 Everton (Premier League)
• 1 January 2015: Hull City 2-0 Everton (Premier League)
• 3 December 2014: Everton 1-1 Hull City (Premier League)

Hull City vs Everton Prediction

Stats suggest a finely balanced contest. Everton are rated as slight favourites in the prediction model, with a 45% chance of an away win and a 45% chance of a draw, leaving just 10% for a Hull victory. That aligns with Everton’s unbeaten start (WDDDW) and marginally better defensive metrics. However, Hull’s home form — no goals conceded in two league matches at the MKM Stadium — and their three clean sheets overall mean Everton will not find this straightforward.

Both teams average 1.2 goals scored per match and both have 3 clean sheets in 5, while under‑goals trends are strong: in Hull’s and Everton’s league campaigns, none of their 5 games have gone over 2.5 goals based on the under/over distribution provided. The prediction advice leans toward “draw or Everton and under 3.5 goals,” which fits the statistical profile of two organised sides more likely to cancel each other out than trade blows in a shoot‑out.

Predicted Score: Hull City 1-1 Everton

Hull City Recent Form

Hull’s recent Premier League form reads LDDWW, reflecting a team that has grown into the season. After an opening defeat, they put together back‑to‑back wins and then two draws, showing resilience and the ability to grind out results. With 6 goals scored and 4 conceded in 5 matches, they have balanced output, and their 3 clean sheets highlight a defensive structure that has quickly adapted to top‑flight demands.

Everton Recent Form

Everton come into this fixture unbeaten with a WDDDW record. They opened with a win, followed by three consecutive draws, and then another victory, underlining consistency and defensive solidity. Six goals scored and only three conceded in 5 games, plus an absence of any league defeat so far, make them one of the more stable sides in the early Premier League table, even if they have yet to fully click in attack away from home.

Hull City Possible Starting Lineup

GK: J. Butland; Defenders: S. Ajayi, L. Coyle, J. Egan, R. Giles, M. Targett; Midfielders: H. Morita, M. Crooks, E. Matazo, A. Ömür; Forwards: O. McBurnie, M. Belloumi.

Hull have predominantly used a 5-4-1 shape across their 5 league matches, suggesting a back five built around experienced defenders like S. Ajayi, J. Egan and L. Coyle, with full‑backs such as R. Giles or M. Targett providing width. In midfield, the likes of H. Morita, M. Crooks and E. Matazo can offer work rate and ball‑winning, while A. Ömür and M. Belloumi provide creativity between the lines. Up front, O. McBurnie acts as the target man. With no injury data provided, Hull appear to have a deep squad to rotate, but their defensive cohesion and Belloumi’s form will likely be the tactical pillars.

Everton Possible Starting Lineup

GK: J. Pickford; Defenders: J. Tarkowski, J. Branthwaite, V. Mykolenko, A. Maitland-Niles; Midfielders: C. Nørgaard, J. Garner, K. Dewsbury-Hall, J. Grealish; Forwards: B. Johnson, T. Barry.

Everton have mainly lined up in a 4-2-3-1, with occasional use of 4-1-4-1. That points to a back four anchored by J. Tarkowski and J. Branthwaite, flanked by V. Mykolenko and A. Maitland-Niles. In midfield, C. Nørgaard and J. Garner provide control and defensive cover, while K. Dewsbury-Hall and J. Grealish add creativity and ball progression. Up front, B. Johnson and T. Barry offer pace and directness. This structure has delivered 3 clean sheets and only 3 goals conceded in 5 matches, and Everton’s flexibility between a double pivot and a single holding midfielder allows them to adapt to Hull’s 5‑at‑the‑back system.

Hull City Team News

No significant absences reported.

Everton Team News

No significant absences reported.

Injuries & Suspensions

Hull City:

• None reported.

Everton:

• None reported.

Betting Tips: Hull City vs Everton

Exactly 3 distinct tips from different markets:

• Result Tip: Back Everton Draw No Bet. The prediction model gives Everton a 45% chance of winning and only a 10% chance of a Hull victory, with a 45% probability of a draw. Everton are unbeaten (WDDDW) and slightly superior defensively. Market odds for an outright away win range from 2.00 to 2.10 (implied probability roughly 47.6% to 50%), making them the clear favourite. Using a Draw No Bet angle helps protect against Hull’s strong home record while still siding with the marginally stronger side.
• Goals Tip: Under 2.5 Goals. Both teams average 1.2 goals scored per game and concede fewer than 1 per match (Hull 0.8, Everton 0.6). Each side has kept 3 clean sheets in 5 matches, and the under/over patterns show all 5 of their league games staying under 2.5 goals. With the prediction advice already highlighting under 3.5 goals, under 2.5 at suitable odds looks a logical, data‑driven selection.
• Value Tip: M. Belloumi to score or assist. Belloumi has 2 goals and 2 assists in 5 appearances, with 13 shots (5 on target) and 5 key passes, meaning he is involved in a high proportion of Hull’s attacking output. Given Hull’s underdog match‑winner odds between 3.50 and 3.82 (implied 26.2% to 28.6%), focusing on their main creator as a player‑performance angle can offer better value than the home win itself, particularly in a tight game where one moment of quality could define the result.

Odds are accurate at the time of writing and subject to change. Please gamble responsibly.