Guide to Betting on Premier League Soccer: Types, Promos, Terms, and Tips

How to Bet on Premier League Soccer

Betting on the Premier League can be split into two main categories: futures and individual match bets. Futures involve predicting results that will happen later, such as who will win the league, who will score the most goals, or which goalkeeper will earn the Golden Gloves. The best odds for these are usually available before the season starts and shift as the season progresses.

Match betting appeals to those who prefer quicker results. This involves placing wagers on a specific game's outcome or particular events within it. Options include final scores, total goals, goalscorers, and double-chance bets. While thrilling, match betting carries unpredictability, since upsets do happen.

Futures Betting

• Premier League Champion: Predict who will win the title.
• Top Goalscorer: Guess who nets the most goals.
• Golden Gloves: Forecast the best goalkeeper award winner.

Early season bets typically offer higher payouts due to uncertainty, while late-season bets are safer but usually pay less.

Match Betting

• Moneyline: Pick the match winner or a draw.
• Totals: Bet on over/under goals.
• Goalscorers: Wager on who scores first, last, or anytime.
• Double Chance: Cover two possible outcomes (win or draw).
• Draw No Bet: Get stake back if the match is drawn.

Top Premier League Sportsbook Bonuses

• DraftKings: Bet $5, receive $150 in bonus bets.
• FanDuel: Bet $5, get $50 in bet reset tokens for 5 days.
• BetMGM: Up to $1,500 in bonus bets.
• Fanatics: Bet $20, receive $350 FanCash.
• bet365: Bet $10, get $365 win or lose.
• theScore Bet: $1,000 bet reset.
• BetRivers: Second-chance bonus bet up to $500.

Understanding Premier League Odds

Odds indicate how likely an event is to happen and how much you can win. Lower odds mean a likely outcome with smaller returns; higher odds mean less likely but bigger payoffs.

American Odds

• Plus (+) odds: Indicate underdogs. A +120 means a $100 bet wins $120 profit plus the original stake.
• Minus (-) odds: Represent favorites. A -120 means you must wager $120 to make $100 profit.

Other Odds Formats

• Fractional (slash) odds: Common in the UK, shown as fractions like 9/2 (bet $2 to win $9).
• Decimal odds: Total return including stake per $1 bet (e.g., 2.00 means $2 returned on $1 bet).

Popular Soccer Match Bets and Props

Moneyline Betting

Unlike many sports, soccer moneyline offers three options: Team A win, Team B win, or Draw. Draw bets cover the result after 90 minutes only, excluding extra time unless specified.

Handicap (Spread) Betting

Handicaps level the playing field by adding or subtracting goals. For example, a bet on Team A -1.5 requires them to win by at least two goals. Conversely, Team B +1.5 wins if they lose by no more than one goal or draw.

Goal Betting

• Total Goals (Over/Under): Wager whether total goals scored exceed or fall below a set number like 2.5.
• Exact Scoreline: Predict the final score, though this is quite difficult.
• Both Teams to Score (BTTS): Bet on whether both teams score during the match.
• Clean Sheet: Bet on a team not conceding any goals.

Half-Time and Interval Bets

Bets can focus on first half or second half results, goals, or even which half sees more scoring. Some sportsbooks allow wagers on goals within specific time intervals.

Goalscorer Bets

• First, Last, or Anytime Goalscorer: Place wagers on individual player scoring moments.
• Assists: Occasionally offered but less common and harder to predict.

Premier League Parlays

Parlays combine multiple bets, all of which must win to pay out. Examples include moneyline plus over/under goals or player to score plus team to win. Be cautious and check lineups before betting on players.

Betting Tips and Strategy

• Check Starting Lineups: Avoid betting on players until official lineups are announced to reduce risk.
• Consider Schedule and Fatigue: Look at travel demands and recent matches to gauge team condition.
• Analyze Trends: Recent form and matchups against similar opponents matter more than old head-to-heads.
• Watch Matches: Observing games reveals tactical details and player form beyond stats.
• Pressing Stats: Study how teams apply pressure and counter-press, affecting transitions and turnovers.
• Goal Creation Style: Understand if teams focus on possession, counter-attacks, long balls, or key playmakers.
• Avoid Media Hype: Focus on facts and trends rather than narratives, which can skew betting markets.
• Expect Surprises: Soccer can be unpredictable; consider some variance in your bets.
• Follow Momentum: Watch game flow but don’t overreact to short bursts of dominance.
• Manager Tactics: Pay attention to coaching strategies, halftime adjustments, and substitutions.
• Player Performance: Monitor individual players’ energy and impact during matches.

Advanced Stats and Analytics

Advanced metrics help deepen understanding of team and player performance. Here are key ones:

• Expected Goals (xG): Measures quality of chances created or conceded.
• Expected Assists (xA): Likelihood that a pass leads to a goal.
• Key Passes: Passes leading to shots but not goals.
• Successful Duels: Winning aerial or ground contests.
• Average Positions & Heat Maps: Show team shape and passing tendencies.
• Defensive Actions: Includes tackles, interceptions, pressures, and recoveries.

Useful Statistical Resources

• FBref
• SofaScore
• UnderStat
• FootyStats.org
• FotMob
• WhoScored
• SoccerSTATS.com
• Transfermarkt

Analytics Experts

• StatsPerform / Opta
• StatsBomb
• ProFootballFocus

Final Thoughts

Betting on Premier League soccer involves many options, from futures to intricate match props. Knowing how to read odds, understand betting types, and analyze teams and players enhances your chances of making smarter wagers. Always watch lineups, evaluate form, and stay aware of the unpredictable nature of soccer.